A0 Financial Analysis
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Markets responded violently to war headlines—but few understand why.This week’s issue connects the dots: oil, inflation, bonds, and the quiet return of stagflation.
So far, the dollar’s decline has supported risk assets. Sustaining this rally likely depends on further weakness
How Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Accord, a Weakened Dollar, and Soaring Deficits Are Reshaping the Investment Landscape
The November CPI report is releasing this week, and oil has been selling off. Last month, oil dropped 7 percent, a big part of the CPI.
The Fed continues its quantitive tightening, selling assets off their balance sheets.
The reasoning behind this switch was that at A0 Financial, we realized that quantitive investment strategies are the future because they incorporate....
The Nasdaq has officially broken out a massive bull flag on the weekly.
During the early stages of a yield curve reinversion, equities usually rally like we saw in 2008
Bonds are reinverting, which is a signal for a possible future crash. When bonds bottom, it takes an average of about 200 days for a crash to come.
In this bear market, stage 1 started in November 2021. Bonds are a great indicator of where we are on the market cycle, and we were at a peak then.
Understandingly, the sentiment is very bearish. We have wars, rumors of World War 3, high inflation, and high interest rates. Usually, the market is contrarian.
